Recent MetService and international model guidance projects a mainly fine day in Wellington on August 25 with northwesterly winds supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C, aligning with near-average August conditions. This forecast consensus underpins the 59.5 % implied probability for 16 °C as the leading outcome, while the 17.5 % shares for 15 °C and 17 °C capture minor uncertainty around exact peak readings and local variability. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities anchored, with final resolution dependent on official observations from monitoring stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 25. August?
16°C 60%
15°C 18%
17°C 18%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
60%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 18%
17°C 18%
18°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
60%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance projects a mainly fine day in Wellington on August 25 with northwesterly winds supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C, aligning with near-average August conditions. This forecast consensus underpins the 59.5 % implied probability for 16 °C as the leading outcome, while the 17.5 % shares for 15 °C and 17 °C capture minor uncertainty around exact peak readings and local variability. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities anchored, with final resolution dependent on official observations from monitoring stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen