**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.** August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening. This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
21°C 38%
20°C 27%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
NEU
$10,501 Vol.
NEU
$10,501 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
16%
20°C
27%
21°C
38%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 38%
20°C 27%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
NEU
$10,501 Vol.
NEU
$10,501 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$610 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,212 Vol.
16%
20°C
$1,684 Vol.
27%
21°C
$1,676 Vol.
38%
22°C
$1,510 Vol.
13%
23°C
$1,395 Vol.
6%
24°C
$977 Vol.
3%
25°C
$570 Vol.
1%
26°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.**
August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening.
This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$10,501Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.**
August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening.
This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,501Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 20–21°C high today in São Paulo, reflecting model agreement for a modest afternoon peak under persistent high pressure.** August marks the cool season in the Southern Hemisphere, with climatological August maxima averaging ~22°C. A stable anticyclone and southeast flow are limiting insolation and moisture, keeping skies mostly cloudy to overcast and suppressing stronger daytime heating. Official short-range guidance from Brazilian sources (including IPMet) and international models (Met Office, Yr) converge on an afternoon peak of 19–21°C, with early-morning readings near 14°C and little change expected through the evening. This narrow range explains the heavy weighting on 19–21°C outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official INMET observations later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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