Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 32°C in Guangzhou on August 27, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the region. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from regional weather systems could cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while high humidity and light winds may influence the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Historical August averages of 32–34°C provide baseline context, yet short-term variability in precipitation timing and intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33–34°C depending on final model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against the narrow two-day forecast window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 27. August?
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C oder höher
4%
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 32°C in Guangzhou on August 27, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the region. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from regional weather systems could cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while high humidity and light winds may influence the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Historical August averages of 32–34°C provide baseline context, yet short-term variability in precipitation timing and intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33–34°C depending on final model runs and observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against the narrow two-day forecast window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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