Current forecast models from European centers indicate a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 25, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing under moderate easterly flow. High-pressure influence from the continent may enhance daytime heating slightly above seasonal averages of 21–22°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker stratus could cap the peak nearer 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, limiting the chance of outliers beyond 26°C or below 22°C. Updated runs from the Met Office and regional models will provide the next key calibration points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 25. August?
24°C 35%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
19%
24°C
35%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29 °C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
24°C 35%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
19%
24°C
35%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29 °C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from European centers indicate a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 25, with the tight market spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing under moderate easterly flow. High-pressure influence from the continent may enhance daytime heating slightly above seasonal averages of 21–22°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thicker stratus could cap the peak nearer 23°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, limiting the chance of outliers beyond 26°C or below 22°C. Updated runs from the Met Office and regional models will provide the next key calibration points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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