Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on August 23 under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus that places 24°C at 43.5% implied probability and 23°C at 33.5%. These outcomes reflect typical late-August conditions moderated by stable high pressure, with daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 21–22°C yet nudged higher by clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models show low dispersion around this range, limiting odds for 25°C or above to 17% combined, while cooler readings below 23°C carry modest weight only if overnight cooling extends further. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from Atlantic flow or diurnal heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 23. August?
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
43%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
43%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on August 23 under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds, aligning with trader consensus that places 24°C at 43.5% implied probability and 23°C at 33.5%. These outcomes reflect typical late-August conditions moderated by stable high pressure, with daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 21–22°C yet nudged higher by clear skies and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble models show low dispersion around this range, limiting odds for 25°C or above to 17% combined, while cooler readings below 23°C carry modest weight only if overnight cooling extends further. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine any last adjustments from Atlantic flow or diurnal heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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