Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from MetService and global models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22 under a high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong southerly flows and allows modest warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability on 15°C and 32% on 14°C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C, yet a persistent ridge has produced milder conditions recently, elevating readings above seasonal norms. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to possible timing shifts in frontal systems and local wind channeling around the harbor, which can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 22. August?
15°C 55%
14°C 35%
13°C 8%
17°C 6%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
8%
14°C
35%
15°C
55%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 55%
14°C 35%
13°C 8%
17°C 6%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$16 Vol.
1%
12°C
$3 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$124 Vol.
35%
15°C
$61 Vol.
55%
16°C
$1 Vol.
5%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C
$11 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from MetService and global models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22 under a high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong southerly flows and allows modest warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability on 15°C and 32% on 14°C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C, yet a persistent ridge has produced milder conditions recently, elevating readings above seasonal norms. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to possible timing shifts in frontal systems and local wind channeling around the harbor, which can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$273Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from MetService and global models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22 under a high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong southerly flows and allows modest warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability on 15°C and 32% on 14°C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C, yet a persistent ridge has produced milder conditions recently, elevating readings above seasonal norms. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to possible timing shifts in frontal systems and local wind channeling around the harbor, which can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$273Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from MetService and global models points to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 22 under a high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong southerly flows and allows modest warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability on 15°C and 32% on 14°C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13°C, yet a persistent ridge has produced milder conditions recently, elevating readings above seasonal norms. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to possible timing shifts in frontal systems and local wind channeling around the harbor, which can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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