Short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's August 22 maximum temperature is most likely to fall between 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's closely matched leading outcomes. Mid-level flow and surface high pressure support modest warming, yet increasing low-level moisture and scattered showers expected late in the day introduce variability in peak readings. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 21–22 °C, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions with limited deviation potential. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and precipitation timing, the key variables that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C and move probabilities among the narrow 22–24 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 26%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
26%
23°C
40%
24°C
30%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
6%
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 26%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
7%
19°C
$10 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$26 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$26 Vol.
40%
24°C
$18 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$32 Vol.
6%
27°C or higher
$10 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's August 22 maximum temperature is most likely to fall between 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's closely matched leading outcomes. Mid-level flow and surface high pressure support modest warming, yet increasing low-level moisture and scattered showers expected late in the day introduce variability in peak readings. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 21–22 °C, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions with limited deviation potential. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and precipitation timing, the key variables that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C and move probabilities among the narrow 22–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$148Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's August 22 maximum temperature is most likely to fall between 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's closely matched leading outcomes. Mid-level flow and surface high pressure support modest warming, yet increasing low-level moisture and scattered showers expected late in the day introduce variability in peak readings. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 21–22 °C, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions with limited deviation potential. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and precipitation timing, the key variables that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C and move probabilities among the narrow 22–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$148Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's August 22 maximum temperature is most likely to fall between 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's closely matched leading outcomes. Mid-level flow and surface high pressure support modest warming, yet increasing low-level moisture and scattered showers expected late in the day introduce variability in peak readings. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 21–22 °C, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions with limited deviation potential. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and precipitation timing, the key variables that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C and move probabilities among the narrow 22–24 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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