Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, widespread cloud cover, and residual moisture from early-month typhoon activity such as Dolphin. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime heating spikes that could elevate minima. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–26°C, with late-month moderation from increasing northeasterly flow. Trader consensus around 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability expected in the 48-hour window, though updated runs or localized rainfall could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. August?
27°C 54%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
24°C 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
54%
28°C
29%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
24°C 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$40 Vol.
15%
27°C
$16 Vol.
54%
28°C
$20 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$41 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, widespread cloud cover, and residual moisture from early-month typhoon activity such as Dolphin. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime heating spikes that could elevate minima. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–26°C, with late-month moderation from increasing northeasterly flow. Trader consensus around 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability expected in the 48-hour window, though updated runs or localized rainfall could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$147Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, widespread cloud cover, and residual moisture from early-month typhoon activity such as Dolphin. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime heating spikes that could elevate minima. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–26°C, with late-month moderation from increasing northeasterly flow. Trader consensus around 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability expected in the 48-hour window, though updated runs or localized rainfall could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$147Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, widespread cloud cover, and residual moisture from early-month typhoon activity such as Dolphin. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime heating spikes that could elevate minima. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–26°C, with late-month moderation from increasing northeasterly flow. Trader consensus around 27°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability expected in the 48-hour window, though updated runs or localized rainfall could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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