Recent forecast updates from European models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam reaching only 18–19°C on August 22, 2026, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 21–22°C, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and embedded showers. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI highlights thundery or passing rain, which limits daytime heating and supports trader consensus around lower outcome thresholds. Short-term model consensus remains stable, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter peak readings before resolution. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups confirm subdued maxima when maritime air dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 22. August?
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 23%
17°C 9%
15°C oder weniger
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
23%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
1%
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 23%
17°C 9%
15°C oder weniger
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
23%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from European models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam reaching only 18–19°C on August 22, 2026, several degrees below the late-August climatological average of 21–22°C, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and embedded showers. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI highlights thundery or passing rain, which limits daytime heating and supports trader consensus around lower outcome thresholds. Short-term model consensus remains stable, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter peak readings before resolution. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups confirm subdued maxima when maritime air dominates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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