Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models including ECMWF and GFS show consensus for a daily high of 31–33°C in Chengdu on August 23, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture supports convective activity that could suppress maximum temperatures below model guidance, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in the basin might push readings toward the upper end. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C. Updated model runs and official 24-hour outlooks from CMA will provide the next key signals before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 23. August?
33°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
21%
33°C
25%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
4%
33°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$37 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$341 Vol.
19%
32°C
$47 Vol.
21%
33°C
$195 Vol.
25%
34°C
$34 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$5 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models including ECMWF and GFS show consensus for a daily high of 31–33°C in Chengdu on August 23, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture supports convective activity that could suppress maximum temperatures below model guidance, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in the basin might push readings toward the upper end. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C. Updated model runs and official 24-hour outlooks from CMA will provide the next key signals before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$699Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models including ECMWF and GFS show consensus for a daily high of 31–33°C in Chengdu on August 23, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture supports convective activity that could suppress maximum temperatures below model guidance, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in the basin might push readings toward the upper end. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C. Updated model runs and official 24-hour outlooks from CMA will provide the next key signals before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$699Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models including ECMWF and GFS show consensus for a daily high of 31–33°C in Chengdu on August 23, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture supports convective activity that could suppress maximum temperatures below model guidance, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in the basin might push readings toward the upper end. Ensemble spread remains modest at this short lead time, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C. Updated model runs and official 24-hour outlooks from CMA will provide the next key signals before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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