Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 21. August?
31°C 38%
32°C 38%
33°C 16%
30°C 6%
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
38%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 38%
33°C 16%
30°C 6%
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
38%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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