Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 indicate a cloudy day with a maximum near 32°C and scattered showers possible in the afternoon, tempering peak heat under a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. Trader consensus favoring 30–32°C outcomes reflects this model consensus alongside Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings during summer. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by strengthened subtropical ridging have kept daily highs in the low 30s°C range through mid-August, though increasing cloud cover and humidity may suppress extremes compared to clearer recent days. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. August?
31°C 42%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
25%
31°C
42%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 42%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 6%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$2,250 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,448 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$291 Vol.
1%
28°C
$274 Vol.
2%
29°C
$224 Vol.
6%
30°C
$793 Vol.
25%
31°C
$703 Vol.
42%
32°C
$993 Vol.
23%
33°C
$276 Vol.
4%
34°C
$218 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$351 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 indicate a cloudy day with a maximum near 32°C and scattered showers possible in the afternoon, tempering peak heat under a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. Trader consensus favoring 30–32°C outcomes reflects this model consensus alongside Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings during summer. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by strengthened subtropical ridging have kept daily highs in the low 30s°C range through mid-August, though increasing cloud cover and humidity may suppress extremes compared to clearer recent days. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,821Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 indicate a cloudy day with a maximum near 32°C and scattered showers possible in the afternoon, tempering peak heat under a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. Trader consensus favoring 30–32°C outcomes reflects this model consensus alongside Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings during summer. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by strengthened subtropical ridging have kept daily highs in the low 30s°C range through mid-August, though increasing cloud cover and humidity may suppress extremes compared to clearer recent days. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,821Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 21 indicate a cloudy day with a maximum near 32°C and scattered showers possible in the afternoon, tempering peak heat under a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. Trader consensus favoring 30–32°C outcomes reflects this model consensus alongside Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to official readings during summer. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by strengthened subtropical ridging have kept daily highs in the low 30s°C range through mid-August, though increasing cloud cover and humidity may suppress extremes compared to clearer recent days. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble model runs in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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