Forecast models from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional sources project a daily high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity and light northeasterly flow, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 31°C and occasional peaks above 33°C when subsidence strengthens. Lower-temperature bins (below 28°C) trade near 2–26% due to limited cooling potential from persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover in recent guidance. Traders weigh the narrow spread around model consensus against possible revisions from updated runs or localized convection, with resolution hinging on official station maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 21. August?
23°C 100%
28°C 100%
30°C 100%
31°C 100%
22°C or below
99%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
100%
29°C
52%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
65%
23°C 100%
28°C 100%
30°C 100%
31°C 100%
22°C or below
99%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
100%
29°C
52%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional sources project a daily high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity and light northeasterly flow, positioning the 32°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 64.5% implied probability. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 31°C and occasional peaks above 33°C when subsidence strengthens. Lower-temperature bins (below 28°C) trade near 2–26% due to limited cooling potential from persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover in recent guidance. Traders weigh the narrow spread around model consensus against possible revisions from updated runs or localized convection, with resolution hinging on official station maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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