Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 12°C overnight into August 22 in London, with daytime highs near 21°C amid thundery showers and near-average conditions, establishing this as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF supports overnight lows in the 11–13°C range, driven by radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds typical after summer frontal passages. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 13°C at 29.5% and 11°C at 16% reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of showers and boundary-layer mixing; historical August minima average around 13–14°C, underscoring the slightly cooler pattern currently priced in by traders. Updated Met Office briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 22. August?
12°C 41%
13°C 29%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
41%
13°C
29%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 29%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$16 Vol.
16%
12°C
$227 Vol.
41%
13°C
$2 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 12°C overnight into August 22 in London, with daytime highs near 21°C amid thundery showers and near-average conditions, establishing this as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF supports overnight lows in the 11–13°C range, driven by radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds typical after summer frontal passages. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 13°C at 29.5% and 11°C at 16% reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of showers and boundary-layer mixing; historical August minima average around 13–14°C, underscoring the slightly cooler pattern currently priced in by traders. Updated Met Office briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$246Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 12°C overnight into August 22 in London, with daytime highs near 21°C amid thundery showers and near-average conditions, establishing this as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF supports overnight lows in the 11–13°C range, driven by radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds typical after summer frontal passages. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 13°C at 29.5% and 11°C at 16% reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of showers and boundary-layer mixing; historical August minima average around 13–14°C, underscoring the slightly cooler pattern currently priced in by traders. Updated Met Office briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$246Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 12°C overnight into August 22 in London, with daytime highs near 21°C amid thundery showers and near-average conditions, establishing this as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF supports overnight lows in the 11–13°C range, driven by radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds typical after summer frontal passages. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 13°C at 29.5% and 11°C at 16% reflecting minor uncertainties in timing of showers and boundary-layer mixing; historical August minima average around 13–14°C, underscoring the slightly cooler pattern currently priced in by traders. Updated Met Office briefings and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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