Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 indices exceeding +2°C and a greater than 90% probability of a very strong event through late 2026, represent the dominant driver elevating temperatures above Panama City's typical August high near 29°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including enhanced convection over the eastern Pacific and suppressed rainfall over Central America, are reducing cloud cover and increasing solar heating, pushing model consensus toward daily maxima of 32–33°C for August 21. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, influenced by variable humidity, localized sea breezes, and short-term model spread in steering patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 21. August?
32°C 43%
33°C 37%
34°C 17%
31°C 10%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
43%
33°C
37%
34°C
10%
35°C
5%
36 °C oder höher
1%
32°C 43%
33°C 37%
34°C 17%
31°C 10%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$97 Vol.
1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$40 Vol.
3%
30°C
$120 Vol.
3%
31°C
$152 Vol.
10%
32°C
$68 Vol.
43%
33°C
$57 Vol.
37%
34°C
$68 Vol.
10%
35°C
$76 Vol.
5%
36 °C oder höher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 indices exceeding +2°C and a greater than 90% probability of a very strong event through late 2026, represent the dominant driver elevating temperatures above Panama City's typical August high near 29°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including enhanced convection over the eastern Pacific and suppressed rainfall over Central America, are reducing cloud cover and increasing solar heating, pushing model consensus toward daily maxima of 32–33°C for August 21. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, influenced by variable humidity, localized sea breezes, and short-term model spread in steering patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$758Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 indices exceeding +2°C and a greater than 90% probability of a very strong event through late 2026, represent the dominant driver elevating temperatures above Panama City's typical August high near 29°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including enhanced convection over the eastern Pacific and suppressed rainfall over Central America, are reducing cloud cover and increasing solar heating, pushing model consensus toward daily maxima of 32–33°C for August 21. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, influenced by variable humidity, localized sea breezes, and short-term model spread in steering patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$758Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 indices exceeding +2°C and a greater than 90% probability of a very strong event through late 2026, represent the dominant driver elevating temperatures above Panama City's typical August high near 29°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including enhanced convection over the eastern Pacific and suppressed rainfall over Central America, are reducing cloud cover and increasing solar heating, pushing model consensus toward daily maxima of 32–33°C for August 21. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, influenced by variable humidity, localized sea breezes, and short-term model spread in steering patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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