Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high of 31–34°C in Jinan on August 21 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, placing the 26°C-or-higher outcome well ahead in trader consensus at 65% implied probability. August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima near 31–33°C, with recent Shandong heat warnings and model runs confirming persistence of warm, humid air masses rather than cooler intrusions. Lower-probability bins clustered near 25% reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized showers or minor model spread, while sub-20°C outcomes remain near 1–2% given the unlikelihood of significant cooling this late in the season. Fresh data releases from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final confirmation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 21. August?
26°C or higher 65%
25°C 4%
16°C or below 3%
17°C 3%
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
65%
26°C or higher 65%
25°C 4%
16°C or below 3%
17°C 3%
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high of 31–34°C in Jinan on August 21 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, placing the 26°C-or-higher outcome well ahead in trader consensus at 65% implied probability. August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima near 31–33°C, with recent Shandong heat warnings and model runs confirming persistence of warm, humid air masses rather than cooler intrusions. Lower-probability bins clustered near 25% reflect residual uncertainty from possible localized showers or minor model spread, while sub-20°C outcomes remain near 1–2% given the unlikelihood of significant cooling this late in the season. Fresh data releases from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final confirmation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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