Short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 21 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 33 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41 %. Subtle differences among 32–34 °C outcomes hinge on daytime cloud cover, the strength of onshore sea breezes from the East Sea, and the position of a weak surface trough that modulates warm-air advection and boundary-layer mixing. Recent upper-level ridging has supported above-normal readings, yet model spread remains modest because of limited lead time and typical variability in summer humidity and insolation. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Busan am 21. August?
32°C 46%
33°C 39%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
20%
32°C
33%
33°C
39%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
33°C 39%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
1%
28°C
$34 Vol.
1%
29°C
$98 Vol.
2%
30°C
$6 Vol.
5%
31°C
$6 Vol.
20%
32°C
$64 Vol.
33%
33°C
$6 Vol.
39%
34°C
$6 Vol.
14%
35°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 21 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 33 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41 %. Subtle differences among 32–34 °C outcomes hinge on daytime cloud cover, the strength of onshore sea breezes from the East Sea, and the position of a weak surface trough that modulates warm-air advection and boundary-layer mixing. Recent upper-level ridging has supported above-normal readings, yet model spread remains modest because of limited lead time and typical variability in summer humidity and insolation. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$438Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 21 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 33 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41 %. Subtle differences among 32–34 °C outcomes hinge on daytime cloud cover, the strength of onshore sea breezes from the East Sea, and the position of a weak surface trough that modulates warm-air advection and boundary-layer mixing. Recent upper-level ridging has supported above-normal readings, yet model spread remains modest because of limited lead time and typical variability in summer humidity and insolation. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$438Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Busan on August 21 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 33 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 41 %. Subtle differences among 32–34 °C outcomes hinge on daytime cloud cover, the strength of onshore sea breezes from the East Sea, and the position of a weak surface trough that modulates warm-air advection and boundary-layer mixing. Recent upper-level ridging has supported above-normal readings, yet model spread remains modest because of limited lead time and typical variability in summer humidity and insolation. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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