Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Warsaw on August 21, positioning this narrow range as the consensus outcome amid late-summer conditions. Seasonal climatology supports highs typically near 23°C, but a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover could modulate peak temperatures by a degree or two depending on the timing of any showers. Official Polish IMGW observations from recent days show similar mid-20s readings, while model ensembles reflect modest spread due to variable low-level moisture. Updated guidance from European forecasting centers expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. August?
26°C 44%
27°C 25%
25°C 23%
28°C or higher 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
44%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
5%
26°C 44%
27°C 25%
25°C 23%
28°C or higher 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$482 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$132 Vol.
1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
2%
24°C
$552 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,046 Vol.
23%
26°C
$634 Vol.
44%
27°C
$410 Vol.
25%
28°C or higher
$227 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Warsaw on August 21, positioning this narrow range as the consensus outcome amid late-summer conditions. Seasonal climatology supports highs typically near 23°C, but a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover could modulate peak temperatures by a degree or two depending on the timing of any showers. Official Polish IMGW observations from recent days show similar mid-20s readings, while model ensembles reflect modest spread due to variable low-level moisture. Updated guidance from European forecasting centers expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,770Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Warsaw on August 21, positioning this narrow range as the consensus outcome amid late-summer conditions. Seasonal climatology supports highs typically near 23°C, but a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover could modulate peak temperatures by a degree or two depending on the timing of any showers. Official Polish IMGW observations from recent days show similar mid-20s readings, while model ensembles reflect modest spread due to variable low-level moisture. Updated guidance from European forecasting centers expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,770Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Warsaw on August 21, positioning this narrow range as the consensus outcome amid late-summer conditions. Seasonal climatology supports highs typically near 23°C, but a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover could modulate peak temperatures by a degree or two depending on the timing of any showers. Official Polish IMGW observations from recent days show similar mid-20s readings, while model ensembles reflect modest spread due to variable low-level moisture. Updated guidance from European forecasting centers expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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