Trader consensus around a 31–32°C peak for Hong Kong on August 19 reflects Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts showing east to northeast winds of force 4–5 with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an extended period of above-normal warmth, including record highs near 37°C earlier in August, yet recent model runs indicate increased cloud cover and moisture that typically caps maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Subtle differences in timing and intensity of showers create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply above 33°C absent clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance through the day will provide the next key inputs for resolving the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 19. August?
32°C 34%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NEU
$10,809 Vol.
NEU
$10,809 Vol.
19. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NEU
$10,809 Vol.
NEU
$10,809 Vol.
19. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,796 Vol.
4%
30°C
$639 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,180 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,736 Vol.
34%
33°C
$1,503 Vol.
13%
34°C
$608 Vol.
4%
35°C
$440 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around a 31–32°C peak for Hong Kong on August 19 reflects Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts showing east to northeast winds of force 4–5 with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an extended period of above-normal warmth, including record highs near 37°C earlier in August, yet recent model runs indicate increased cloud cover and moisture that typically caps maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Subtle differences in timing and intensity of showers create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply above 33°C absent clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance through the day will provide the next key inputs for resolving the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,809Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around a 31–32°C peak for Hong Kong on August 19 reflects Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts showing east to northeast winds of force 4–5 with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an extended period of above-normal warmth, including record highs near 37°C earlier in August, yet recent model runs indicate increased cloud cover and moisture that typically caps maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Subtle differences in timing and intensity of showers create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply above 33°C absent clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance through the day will provide the next key inputs for resolving the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,809Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 31–32°C peak for Hong Kong on August 19 reflects Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts showing east to northeast winds of force 4–5 with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. These conditions follow an extended period of above-normal warmth, including record highs near 37°C earlier in August, yet recent model runs indicate increased cloud cover and moisture that typically caps maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Subtle differences in timing and intensity of showers create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply above 33°C absent clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical guidance through the day will provide the next key inputs for resolving the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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