Recent short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate Toronto’s August 17 high temperature will most likely reach 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers. This narrow band drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as modest differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Upper-level ridging supporting warm advection remains the dominant pattern, yet any earlier or heavier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 25 °C while clearer conditions or delayed convection favor 28 °C. Historical August variability around Toronto’s 25–26 °C climatological normal adds further uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 17. August?
26°C 41%
27°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate Toronto’s August 17 high temperature will most likely reach 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers. This narrow band drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as modest differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Upper-level ridging supporting warm advection remains the dominant pattern, yet any earlier or heavier shower activity could suppress the peak toward 25 °C while clearer conditions or delayed convection favor 28 °C. Historical August variability around Toronto’s 25–26 °C climatological normal adds further uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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