The closely matched market odds between 25°C and 26°C as the highest temperature in Toronto on August 16 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in model guidance for peak daytime heating. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough could push readings toward the upper end, while a strengthening lake breeze off Lake Ontario often caps afternoon maxima through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping resolution sensitive to small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and timing of any seabreeze front passage. Historical late-summer climatology for the region centers near 26°C, but urban heat-island effects and recent dewpoint trends add further variability that traders are pricing into the narrow 25–26°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 16. August?
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$78 Vol.
1%
23°C
$282 Vol.
5%
24°C
$507 Vol.
17%
25°C
$157 Vol.
34%
26°C
$105 Vol.
34%
27°C
$660 Vol.
12%
28°C
$298 Vol.
2%
29°C
$374 Vol.
2%
30°C
$128 Vol.
1%
31°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 25°C and 26°C as the highest temperature in Toronto on August 16 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in model guidance for peak daytime heating. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough could push readings toward the upper end, while a strengthening lake breeze off Lake Ontario often caps afternoon maxima through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping resolution sensitive to small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and timing of any seabreeze front passage. Historical late-summer climatology for the region centers near 26°C, but urban heat-island effects and recent dewpoint trends add further variability that traders are pricing into the narrow 25–26°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$3,950Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 25°C and 26°C as the highest temperature in Toronto on August 16 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in model guidance for peak daytime heating. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough could push readings toward the upper end, while a strengthening lake breeze off Lake Ontario often caps afternoon maxima through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping resolution sensitive to small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and timing of any seabreeze front passage. Historical late-summer climatology for the region centers near 26°C, but urban heat-island effects and recent dewpoint trends add further variability that traders are pricing into the narrow 25–26°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,950Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds between 25°C and 26°C as the highest temperature in Toronto on August 16 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in model guidance for peak daytime heating. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching trough could push readings toward the upper end, while a strengthening lake breeze off Lake Ontario often caps afternoon maxima through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping resolution sensitive to small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and timing of any seabreeze front passage. Historical late-summer climatology for the region centers near 26°C, but urban heat-island effects and recent dewpoint trends add further variability that traders are pricing into the narrow 25–26°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen