Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 17. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 17. August?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
75°F or below
$436 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$300 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$288 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$248 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$292 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$1,335 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$347 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$140 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$40 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$58 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,776Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,776Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high temperature of 84–86°F in New York City on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 84–85°F (36%) and 86–87°F (23%) outcomes. August climatology centers on an 83°F average high at Central Park, and recent ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline with no strong cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover expected. Updated runs emphasize modest diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influences that could cap temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly centered in the mid-80s while assigning only low probability to 90°F-plus extremes. New NWS forecast updates and model refreshes tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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