Environment Canada’s latest guidance and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime high of 26 °C for Toronto on August 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 60 % chance of showers and light northwest winds, placing the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C outcome at 42.5 %. This consensus reflects typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 25 °C, combined with current steering patterns that limit stronger warm-air advection or significant cooling. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 25 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities at 25.5 % and 17.5 % respectively, while near-zero odds on extremes underscore low expected forecast bust potential before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 19. August?
26°C 43%
25°C 26%
27°C 18%
24°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
26%
26°C
43%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 26%
27°C 18%
24°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
26%
26°C
43%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest guidance and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime high of 26 °C for Toronto on August 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 60 % chance of showers and light northwest winds, placing the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C outcome at 42.5 %. This consensus reflects typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 25 °C, combined with current steering patterns that limit stronger warm-air advection or significant cooling. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 25 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities at 25.5 % and 17.5 % respectively, while near-zero odds on extremes underscore low expected forecast bust potential before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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