Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from recent PAGASA guidance, is the main driver capping Manila's expected daytime maximum near 28–29°C on August 19. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the typical August average of 30–31°C. Model consensus and current observations show only modest warming potential if convection weakens, while stronger rain bands could push highs toward 27°C. Traders price the tight 28–29°C cluster highest because short-term forecast uncertainty around monsoon intensity and timing creates genuine variability in peak temperature outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 19. August?
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
26%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C oder höher
2%
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$186 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$34 Vol.
2%
26°C
$17 Vol.
8%
27°C
$11 Vol.
12%
28°C
$31 Vol.
33%
29°C
$5 Vol.
26%
30°C
$286 Vol.
16%
31°C
$36 Vol.
5%
32°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from recent PAGASA guidance, is the main driver capping Manila's expected daytime maximum near 28–29°C on August 19. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the typical August average of 30–31°C. Model consensus and current observations show only modest warming potential if convection weakens, while stronger rain bands could push highs toward 27°C. Traders price the tight 28–29°C cluster highest because short-term forecast uncertainty around monsoon intensity and timing creates genuine variability in peak temperature outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$988Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from recent PAGASA guidance, is the main driver capping Manila's expected daytime maximum near 28–29°C on August 19. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the typical August average of 30–31°C. Model consensus and current observations show only modest warming potential if convection weakens, while stronger rain bands could push highs toward 27°C. Traders price the tight 28–29°C cluster highest because short-term forecast uncertainty around monsoon intensity and timing creates genuine variability in peak temperature outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$988Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from recent PAGASA guidance, is the main driver capping Manila's expected daytime maximum near 28–29°C on August 19. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the typical August average of 30–31°C. Model consensus and current observations show only modest warming potential if convection weakens, while stronger rain bands could push highs toward 27°C. Traders price the tight 28–29°C cluster highest because short-term forecast uncertainty around monsoon intensity and timing creates genuine variability in peak temperature outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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