Current forecast models from agencies such as AEMET and BBC project a high of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of trader consensus around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical continental summer heating in central Spain support daytime maxima in this range, consistent with the warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook issued by AEMET for June–August. Recent observations show highs climbing from 34°C on August 16 toward similar or slightly elevated values, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings at the Retiro station, where small shifts in steering patterns or local wind could push the peak to 38°C or hold it at 36°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. August?
37°C 53%
38°C 29%
36°C 14%
35°C 5%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
14%
37°C
53%
38°C
29%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 53%
38°C 29%
36°C 14%
35°C 5%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
14%
37°C
53%
38°C
29%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies such as AEMET and BBC project a high of 36–37°C in Madrid on August 17, 2026, reflecting the primary driver of trader consensus around those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical continental summer heating in central Spain support daytime maxima in this range, consistent with the warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook issued by AEMET for June–August. Recent observations show highs climbing from 34°C on August 16 toward similar or slightly elevated values, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings at the Retiro station, where small shifts in steering patterns or local wind could push the peak to 38°C or hold it at 36°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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