Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures near 27–29°C on August 19, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and partial cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limits surface heating. The basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, promoting convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima even as regional averages hover around 30°C; brief breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 31°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower 27°C outcome. With odds clustered tightly, traders weigh the latest 48-hour runs for precipitation timing and insolation against historical August variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 19. August?
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$333 Vol.
1%
24°C
$133 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$2 Vol.
10%
27°C
$24 Vol.
31%
28°C
$32 Vol.
32%
29°C
$5 Vol.
18%
30°C
$2 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$5 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures near 27–29°C on August 19, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and partial cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limits surface heating. The basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, promoting convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima even as regional averages hover around 30°C; brief breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 31°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower 27°C outcome. With odds clustered tightly, traders weigh the latest 48-hour runs for precipitation timing and insolation against historical August variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$540Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures near 27–29°C on August 19, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and partial cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limits surface heating. The basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, promoting convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima even as regional averages hover around 30°C; brief breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 31°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower 27°C outcome. With odds clustered tightly, traders weigh the latest 48-hour runs for precipitation timing and insolation against historical August variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$540Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures near 27–29°C on August 19, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and partial cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin that limits surface heating. The basin’s topography traps moist air from the East Asian monsoon, promoting convective cloud development that caps daytime maxima even as regional averages hover around 30°C; brief breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 31°C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower 27°C outcome. With odds clustered tightly, traders weigh the latest 48-hour runs for precipitation timing and insolation against historical August variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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