Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 19. August?
32°C 30%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
34°C 18%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
25%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 30%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
34°C 18%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
30%
33°C
$16 Vol.
25%
34°C
$7 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$12 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$61Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office, AccuWeather, and other models project Beijing maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on August 19, aligning with late-summer climatology as solar insolation declines and monsoon influences wane. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds limiting daytime heating, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Historical data indicate typical mid-to-late August highs near 30–31°C, with urban heat island effects and any unexpected convective activity as key variables that could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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