Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office-aligned reports indicate London highs near 23°C on August 19, aligning with the market's close 23–24°C outcomes and typical mid-August climatology of 21–22°C. Mild Atlantic flow and limited high-pressure influence are keeping conditions near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming, while model consensus shows low potential for 25°C+ spikes absent unexpected subsidence or clearer skies. Short-range updates in the next 48 hours could refine maximum temperature readings by 1–2°C due to boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading bins against historical August variability and the high reliability of 2-day temperature guidance from numerical weather prediction ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 19. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 19. August?
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C
31%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$98 Vol.
1%
21°C
$130 Vol.
6%
22°C
$334 Vol.
10%
23°C
$270 Vol.
31%
24°C
$348 Vol.
38%
25°C
$506 Vol.
18%
26°C
$115 Vol.
7%
27°C
$145 Vol.
1%
28°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office-aligned reports indicate London highs near 23°C on August 19, aligning with the market's close 23–24°C outcomes and typical mid-August climatology of 21–22°C. Mild Atlantic flow and limited high-pressure influence are keeping conditions near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming, while model consensus shows low potential for 25°C+ spikes absent unexpected subsidence or clearer skies. Short-range updates in the next 48 hours could refine maximum temperature readings by 1–2°C due to boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading bins against historical August variability and the high reliability of 2-day temperature guidance from numerical weather prediction ensembles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,705Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office-aligned reports indicate London highs near 23°C on August 19, aligning with the market's close 23–24°C outcomes and typical mid-August climatology of 21–22°C. Mild Atlantic flow and limited high-pressure influence are keeping conditions near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming, while model consensus shows low potential for 25°C+ spikes absent unexpected subsidence or clearer skies. Short-range updates in the next 48 hours could refine maximum temperature readings by 1–2°C due to boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading bins against historical August variability and the high reliability of 2-day temperature guidance from numerical weather prediction ensembles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,705Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office-aligned reports indicate London highs near 23°C on August 19, aligning with the market's close 23–24°C outcomes and typical mid-August climatology of 21–22°C. Mild Atlantic flow and limited high-pressure influence are keeping conditions near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming, while model consensus shows low potential for 25°C+ spikes absent unexpected subsidence or clearer skies. Short-range updates in the next 48 hours could refine maximum temperature readings by 1–2°C due to boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading bins against historical August variability and the high reliability of 2-day temperature guidance from numerical weather prediction ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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