Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 19. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 19. August?
16°C 41%
17°C 40%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
41%
17°C
40%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 41%
17°C 40%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
NEU
NEU
19. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
6%
14°C
$5 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$162 Vol.
41%
17°C
$408 Vol.
40%
18°C
$29 Vol.
14%
19°C
$4 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$632Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$632Enddatum
19. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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