Recent Met Office guidance projects a nighttime minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid a gradual cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27–34°C, with ensemble consensus from models like ECMWF supporting overnight lows in the 16–18°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, influenced by lingering high pressure and a mild maritime air mass rather than a strong cold front, positions 17–19°C as the dominant trader-implied outcomes while keeping lower values like 16°C at modest probability. Historical August climatology averages 13–15°C for minima, yet the current pattern and limited model spread sustain elevated odds for the warmer end of the distribution until fresh forecast updates arrive closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. August?
18°C 37%
17°C 21%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
24%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 21%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$21 Vol.
3%
15°C
$11 Vol.
4%
16°C
$93 Vol.
5%
17°C
$362 Vol.
21%
18°C
$591 Vol.
37%
19°C
$849 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a nighttime minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid a gradual cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27–34°C, with ensemble consensus from models like ECMWF supporting overnight lows in the 16–18°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, influenced by lingering high pressure and a mild maritime air mass rather than a strong cold front, positions 17–19°C as the dominant trader-implied outcomes while keeping lower values like 16°C at modest probability. Historical August climatology averages 13–15°C for minima, yet the current pattern and limited model spread sustain elevated odds for the warmer end of the distribution until fresh forecast updates arrive closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,030Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a nighttime minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid a gradual cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27–34°C, with ensemble consensus from models like ECMWF supporting overnight lows in the 16–18°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, influenced by lingering high pressure and a mild maritime air mass rather than a strong cold front, positions 17–19°C as the dominant trader-implied outcomes while keeping lower values like 16°C at modest probability. Historical August climatology averages 13–15°C for minima, yet the current pattern and limited model spread sustain elevated odds for the warmer end of the distribution until fresh forecast updates arrive closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,030Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance projects a nighttime minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid a gradual cooling trend following mid-August highs near 27–34°C, with ensemble consensus from models like ECMWF supporting overnight lows in the 16–18°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup, influenced by lingering high pressure and a mild maritime air mass rather than a strong cold front, positions 17–19°C as the dominant trader-implied outcomes while keeping lower values like 16°C at modest probability. Historical August climatology averages 13–15°C for minima, yet the current pattern and limited model spread sustain elevated odds for the warmer end of the distribution until fresh forecast updates arrive closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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