Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 21 under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and daytime heating. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon flow and elevated convective activity reduce clear-sky periods, positioning 29–31°C as the most likely range in trader consensus while allowing for final adjustments from updated model runs or localized variations. This aligns with typical late-August patterns of suppressed peaks amid high humidity and frequent precipitation, contrasting the early-month heatwave that produced record highs near 36–37°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. August?
30°C 35%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 10%
$22,360 Vol.
$22,360 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
25%
30°C
35%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 10%
$22,360 Vol.
$22,360 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
25%
30°C
35%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 27–31°C on August 21 under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and daytime heating. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon flow and elevated convective activity reduce clear-sky periods, positioning 29–31°C as the most likely range in trader consensus while allowing for final adjustments from updated model runs or localized variations. This aligns with typical late-August patterns of suppressed peaks amid high humidity and frequent precipitation, contrasting the early-month heatwave that produced record highs near 36–37°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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