Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a minimum near 27°C within a 27–31°C daily range, under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and squally thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds limit heat loss, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. Numerical models show minor spread around 26–28°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could tip the recorded low by 1°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical minima averaging near 27°C. Traders weigh these factors alongside imminent model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. August?
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
39%
27°C
40%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
39%
27°C
40%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a minimum near 27°C within a 27–31°C daily range, under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and squally thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds limit heat loss, sustaining elevated overnight temperatures typical of late-summer subtropical conditions. Numerical models show minor spread around 26–28°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could tip the recorded low by 1°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming trends, with historical minima averaging near 27°C. Traders weigh these factors alongside imminent model updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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