Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low around 68–70°F for Central Park on August 21, driven by moderating temperatures behind a weak front, partly cloudy skies limiting strong radiational cooling, and light northerly flow. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 66–69°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical late-August climatology (average low near 67°F). Warmer-than-normal conditions earlier in August have raised baseline temperatures, while any increase in cloud cover or dew points could push the minimum higher into the low 70s; conversely, clearer skies overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 21. August?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
70-71°F 14%
62-63°F 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
57°F oder weniger
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76°F oder höher
1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
70-71°F 14%
62-63°F 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
57°F oder weniger
$0 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$77 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
28%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$54 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
7%
76°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low around 68–70°F for Central Park on August 21, driven by moderating temperatures behind a weak front, partly cloudy skies limiting strong radiational cooling, and light northerly flow. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 66–69°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical late-August climatology (average low near 67°F). Warmer-than-normal conditions earlier in August have raised baseline temperatures, while any increase in cloud cover or dew points could push the minimum higher into the low 70s; conversely, clearer skies overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$181Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low around 68–70°F for Central Park on August 21, driven by moderating temperatures behind a weak front, partly cloudy skies limiting strong radiational cooling, and light northerly flow. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 66–69°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical late-August climatology (average low near 67°F). Warmer-than-normal conditions earlier in August have raised baseline temperatures, while any increase in cloud cover or dew points could push the minimum higher into the low 70s; conversely, clearer skies overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$181Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low around 68–70°F for Central Park on August 21, driven by moderating temperatures behind a weak front, partly cloudy skies limiting strong radiational cooling, and light northerly flow. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 66–69°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical late-August climatology (average low near 67°F). Warmer-than-normal conditions earlier in August have raised baseline temperatures, while any increase in cloud cover or dew points could push the minimum higher into the low 70s; conversely, clearer skies overnight would favor the lower end of the range. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs expected through the evening will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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