Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction systems, including those aligned with Met Office guidance, position the maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 near 20°C as the most probable outcome. This reflects a typical late-summer pattern of moderating westerly maritime airflow from the North Atlantic, combined with variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Current model consensus shows little potential for stronger anticyclonic warming or deeper cool outbreaks over the next 48 hours, consistent with the narrow spread favoring 19–21°C bins. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals heavily, given the short lead time and established skill of high-resolution regional models for such thresholds. Updated runs from ECMWF and KNMI will provide the next key refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 23. August?
20°C 50%
19°C 31%
21°C 14%
18°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
31%
20°C
50%
21°C
14%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 31%
21°C 14%
18°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$47 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$47 Vol.
1%
17°C
$59 Vol.
2%
18°C
$41 Vol.
7%
19°C
$62 Vol.
31%
20°C
$175 Vol.
50%
21°C
$165 Vol.
14%
22°C
$46 Vol.
3%
23°C
$61 Vol.
2%
24°C
$47 Vol.
1%
25°C oder höher
$167 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction systems, including those aligned with Met Office guidance, position the maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 near 20°C as the most probable outcome. This reflects a typical late-summer pattern of moderating westerly maritime airflow from the North Atlantic, combined with variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Current model consensus shows little potential for stronger anticyclonic warming or deeper cool outbreaks over the next 48 hours, consistent with the narrow spread favoring 19–21°C bins. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals heavily, given the short lead time and established skill of high-resolution regional models for such thresholds. Updated runs from ECMWF and KNMI will provide the next key refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$918Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction systems, including those aligned with Met Office guidance, position the maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 near 20°C as the most probable outcome. This reflects a typical late-summer pattern of moderating westerly maritime airflow from the North Atlantic, combined with variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Current model consensus shows little potential for stronger anticyclonic warming or deeper cool outbreaks over the next 48 hours, consistent with the narrow spread favoring 19–21°C bins. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals heavily, given the short lead time and established skill of high-resolution regional models for such thresholds. Updated runs from ECMWF and KNMI will provide the next key refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$918Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction systems, including those aligned with Met Office guidance, position the maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 23 near 20°C as the most probable outcome. This reflects a typical late-summer pattern of moderating westerly maritime airflow from the North Atlantic, combined with variable cloud cover and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. Current model consensus shows little potential for stronger anticyclonic warming or deeper cool outbreaks over the next 48 hours, consistent with the narrow spread favoring 19–21°C bins. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals heavily, given the short lead time and established skill of high-resolution regional models for such thresholds. Updated runs from ECMWF and KNMI will provide the next key refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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