Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a peak near 29°C for Istanbul on August 23 under sunny high-pressure conditions, with light northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes likely capping the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 27–31°C owing to small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while historical August climatology centers on 28–30°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because recent model runs favor values at or just below the upper end of typical variability, though afternoon observations could shift outcomes if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station records, with updates expected through the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
28%
28°C
37%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$25 Vol.
4%
24°C
$25 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$42 Vol.
7%
27°C
$64 Vol.
28%
28°C
$13 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$2 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a peak near 29°C for Istanbul on August 23 under sunny high-pressure conditions, with light northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes likely capping the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 27–31°C owing to small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while historical August climatology centers on 28–30°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because recent model runs favor values at or just below the upper end of typical variability, though afternoon observations could shift outcomes if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station records, with updates expected through the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$196Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a peak near 29°C for Istanbul on August 23 under sunny high-pressure conditions, with light northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes likely capping the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 27–31°C owing to small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while historical August climatology centers on 28–30°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because recent model runs favor values at or just below the upper end of typical variability, though afternoon observations could shift outcomes if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station records, with updates expected through the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$196Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a peak near 29°C for Istanbul on August 23 under sunny high-pressure conditions, with light northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes likely capping the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 27–31°C owing to small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while historical August climatology centers on 28–30°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because recent model runs favor values at or just below the upper end of typical variability, though afternoon observations could shift outcomes if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on official station records, with updates expected through the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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