Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 23 around 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity promoting some radiative cooling overnight. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 19–21°C, where small differences in pre-dawn minimums hinge on exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Historical August lows average near 21°C, with limited model spread reflecting low uncertainty this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 20°C and 21°C outcomes as new runs refine the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
20°C 29%
19°C 20%
17°C 19%
22°C 19%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
29%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
16%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 29%
19°C 20%
17°C 19%
22°C 19%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$30 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5 Vol.
19%
18°C
$35 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
29%
21°C
$37 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$15 Vol.
19%
25°C
$151 Vol.
16%
26°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 23 around 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity promoting some radiative cooling overnight. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 19–21°C, where small differences in pre-dawn minimums hinge on exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Historical August lows average near 21°C, with limited model spread reflecting low uncertainty this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 20°C and 21°C outcomes as new runs refine the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$299Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 23 around 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity promoting some radiative cooling overnight. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 19–21°C, where small differences in pre-dawn minimums hinge on exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Historical August lows average near 21°C, with limited model spread reflecting low uncertainty this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 20°C and 21°C outcomes as new runs refine the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$299Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 23 around 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity promoting some radiative cooling overnight. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 19–21°C, where small differences in pre-dawn minimums hinge on exact cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Historical August lows average near 21°C, with limited model spread reflecting low uncertainty this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh the balance between 20°C and 21°C outcomes as new runs refine the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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