Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flows over Istanbul, producing a tight cluster of minimum temperatures around 18–21°C for August 22. Maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limits extreme drops, while subtle differences in wind speed, humidity, and any late-day cloud increases create the narrow spread captured by trader consensus. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 18–20°C, and upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 22. August?
24°C 44%
21°C 43%
25°C 38%
28°C or higher 38%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
36%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
43%
22°C
37%
23°C
47%
24°C
44%
25°C
38%
26°C
35%
27°C
34%
28°C or higher
38%
24°C 44%
21°C 43%
25°C 38%
28°C or higher 38%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
36%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$0 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$14 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$5 Vol.
35%
27°C
$5 Vol.
34%
28°C or higher
$15 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flows over Istanbul, producing a tight cluster of minimum temperatures around 18–21°C for August 22. Maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limits extreme drops, while subtle differences in wind speed, humidity, and any late-day cloud increases create the narrow spread captured by trader consensus. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 18–20°C, and upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$39Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flows over Istanbul, producing a tight cluster of minimum temperatures around 18–21°C for August 22. Maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limits extreme drops, while subtle differences in wind speed, humidity, and any late-day cloud increases create the narrow spread captured by trader consensus. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 18–20°C, and upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flows over Istanbul, producing a tight cluster of minimum temperatures around 18–21°C for August 22. Maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limits extreme drops, while subtle differences in wind speed, humidity, and any late-day cloud increases create the narrow spread captured by trader consensus. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 18–20°C, and upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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