Active southwest monsoon conditions over Metro Manila are sustaining elevated humidity levels near 90% and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and anchors minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. PAGASA guidance for August 22 projects a low near 24–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 25°C. Urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest model runs and real-time observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 22. August?
24°C 64%
26°C 35%
27°C 35%
23°C 2%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
64%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
39%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 64%
26°C 35%
27°C 35%
23°C 2%
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
64%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
39%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over Metro Manila are sustaining elevated humidity levels near 90% and persistent cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling overnight and anchors minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. PAGASA guidance for August 22 projects a low near 24–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, consistent with climatological August averages of roughly 25°C. Urban heat-island effects and variable rainfall timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest model runs and real-time observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen