Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 22. August?
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
18%
13°C
42%
14°C
38%
15°C
15%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C oder höher
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
9°C
$6 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$8 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C oder höher
$13 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$51Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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