Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Miami's August 22 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent high pressure and limited Atlantic sea-breeze cooling, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for 92–93 °F and 28% for 94–95 °F. The August 18 record-tying 100 °F reading demonstrated how delayed onshore flow can push temperatures 5–9 °F above the 1991–2020 normal of 91 °F, yet typical August climatology and increasing thunderstorm chances later in the period cap upside risk. Model consensus and historical analogs indicate only low odds of 96 °F or higher, while sub-90 °F outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid cloud cover or stronger easterly winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions on the 21st will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 22. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 22. August?
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
4%
100°F oder mehr
1%
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
81°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$103 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$58 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$85 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$198 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$264 Vol.
54%
94-95°F
$90 Vol.
28%
96-97°F
$70 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$25 Vol.
4%
100°F oder mehr
$58 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Miami's August 22 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent high pressure and limited Atlantic sea-breeze cooling, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for 92–93 °F and 28% for 94–95 °F. The August 18 record-tying 100 °F reading demonstrated how delayed onshore flow can push temperatures 5–9 °F above the 1991–2020 normal of 91 °F, yet typical August climatology and increasing thunderstorm chances later in the period cap upside risk. Model consensus and historical analogs indicate only low odds of 96 °F or higher, while sub-90 °F outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid cloud cover or stronger easterly winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions on the 21st will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,041Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Miami's August 22 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent high pressure and limited Atlantic sea-breeze cooling, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for 92–93 °F and 28% for 94–95 °F. The August 18 record-tying 100 °F reading demonstrated how delayed onshore flow can push temperatures 5–9 °F above the 1991–2020 normal of 91 °F, yet typical August climatology and increasing thunderstorm chances later in the period cap upside risk. Model consensus and historical analogs indicate only low odds of 96 °F or higher, while sub-90 °F outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid cloud cover or stronger easterly winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions on the 21st will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,041Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Miami's August 22 high in the low-to-mid 90s under persistent high pressure and limited Atlantic sea-breeze cooling, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for 92–93 °F and 28% for 94–95 °F. The August 18 record-tying 100 °F reading demonstrated how delayed onshore flow can push temperatures 5–9 °F above the 1991–2020 normal of 91 °F, yet typical August climatology and increasing thunderstorm chances later in the period cap upside risk. Model consensus and historical analogs indicate only low odds of 96 °F or higher, while sub-90 °F outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid cloud cover or stronger easterly winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions on the 21st will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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