Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows near 77–80°F for Houston on August 22 amid persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 77°F, support market-implied probabilities favoring 71°F or below as the leading outcome while keeping mid-70s to low-80s bands closely bunched. Short-term guidance shows minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection through the period, though scattered convection could locally enhance cooling. Updated evening model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 22. August?
21,7°C oder darunter 94%
90°F oder höher 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 47%
21,7°C oder darunter
94%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
47%
90°F oder höher
49%
21,7°C oder darunter 94%
90°F oder höher 49%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 47%
21,7°C oder darunter
94%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
47%
90°F oder höher
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to overnight lows near 77–80°F for Houston on August 22 amid persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiational cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 77°F, support market-implied probabilities favoring 71°F or below as the leading outcome while keeping mid-70s to low-80s bands closely bunched. Short-term guidance shows minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection through the period, though scattered convection could locally enhance cooling. Updated evening model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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