Recent forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, highlights elevated cloud cover and frequent showers associated with the ongoing rainy season as the main driver behind the market-implied 43% probability on a minimum of 21 °C or below for August 22. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, producing overnight lows near or slightly below the long-term August average of 24–25 °C. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows modest spread around 23–26 °C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring the cooler tail under persistent tropical moisture. Traders appear to price in the usual forecast uncertainty range and the potential for localized heavy rainfall to push readings lower, while the clustered 26–27% odds on 22–31 °C outcomes reflect the broader historical distribution. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 22. August?
21°C oder weniger 43%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C oder weniger
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C oder höher
26%
21°C oder weniger 43%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C oder weniger
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C oder höher
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, highlights elevated cloud cover and frequent showers associated with the ongoing rainy season as the main driver behind the market-implied 43% probability on a minimum of 21 °C or below for August 22. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, producing overnight lows near or slightly below the long-term August average of 24–25 °C. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies shows modest spread around 23–26 °C, with the highest-resolution runs favoring the cooler tail under persistent tropical moisture. Traders appear to price in the usual forecast uncertainty range and the potential for localized heavy rainfall to push readings lower, while the clustered 26–27% odds on 22–31 °C outcomes reflect the broader historical distribution. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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