Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows for August 22 centered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, with model guidance showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, light winds, and humidity levels that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clusters around 66–71°F outcomes because ensemble runs diverge on the timing of any arriving moisture or increased wind shear, which can raise minimum temperatures by 2–4°F compared with clearer, calmer conditions typical of late-summer urban environments. Historical Central Park data place the August average low near 67°F, so the market reflects tight uncertainty around this baseline rather than any major shift in broader seasonal warmth. Updated NWS and model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold.