Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 22. August?
-9°C oder darunter 88%
-8°C 49%
-5°C 49%
-4°C 49%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
-9°C oder darunter
88%
-8°C
49%
-7°C
41%
-6°C
40%
-5°C
49%
-4°C
49%
-3°C
25%
-2°C
26%
-1°C
26%
0°C
26%
1°C oder höher
29%
-9°C oder darunter 88%
-8°C 49%
-5°C 49%
-4°C 49%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
-9°C oder darunter
$30 Vol.
88%
-8°C
$25 Vol.
49%
-7°C
$25 Vol.
41%
-6°C
$25 Vol.
40%
-5°C
$25 Vol.
49%
-4°C
$25 Vol.
49%
-3°C
$0 Vol.
25%
-2°C
$0 Vol.
26%
-1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
0°C
$0 Vol.
26%
1°C oder höher
$16 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volumen
$171Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$171Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Antarctic air intrusions and variable model runs from agencies like Argentina's SMN have heightened uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling in Buenos Aires, positioning -9°C or below as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability. Recent polar outbreaks produced lows near 1°C in early August, establishing precedent for sharp drops below seasonal averages of 6–9°C. Forecast ensembles show divergence on wind patterns and cloud cover that could either moderate or amplify minimum temperatures on the 22nd, with 1°C or higher trailing at 27% amid mixed guidance. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, recognizing the narrow window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen