Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 21. August?
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
34%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 34%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
34%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS converge on an overnight minimum of 13–14 °C for Amsterdam on 21 August, with light northerly winds, high humidity, and broken cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. This places the market’s leading 14 °C (60 %) and 13 °C (34 %) outcomes squarely in line with official guidance and the long-term climatological average low of ~13.1 °C. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two values.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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