Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional ensembles show Milan’s August 23 maximum likely settling between 27–29 °C, driven by a ridge of high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon instability. Subtle differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer moisture, the exact timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, and modest variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which collectively explain why the market assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C or higher. Historical climatology places the late-August normal near 28 °C, so any shift in model consensus over the next 48 hours—particularly updated 12 UTC runs—could quickly reprice the close outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 23. August?
29°C or higher 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C or higher
32%
29°C or higher 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
1%
24°C
$109 Vol.
1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
2%
26°C
$163 Vol.
8%
27°C
$422 Vol.
28%
28°C
$167 Vol.
29%
29°C or higher
$171 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional ensembles show Milan’s August 23 maximum likely settling between 27–29 °C, driven by a ridge of high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon instability. Subtle differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer moisture, the exact timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, and modest variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which collectively explain why the market assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C or higher. Historical climatology places the late-August normal near 28 °C, so any shift in model consensus over the next 48 hours—particularly updated 12 UTC runs—could quickly reprice the close outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,522Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional ensembles show Milan’s August 23 maximum likely settling between 27–29 °C, driven by a ridge of high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon instability. Subtle differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer moisture, the exact timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, and modest variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which collectively explain why the market assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C or higher. Historical climatology places the late-August normal near 28 °C, so any shift in model consensus over the next 48 hours—particularly updated 12 UTC runs—could quickly reprice the close outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,522Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional ensembles show Milan’s August 23 maximum likely settling between 27–29 °C, driven by a ridge of high pressure yielding mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon instability. Subtle differences among runs hinge on boundary-layer moisture, the exact timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, and modest variations in 850 hPa temperatures, which collectively explain why the market assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C or higher. Historical climatology places the late-August normal near 28 °C, so any shift in model consensus over the next 48 hours—particularly updated 12 UTC runs—could quickly reprice the close outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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