Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 23. August?
13°C 36%
14°C 28%
12°C 19%
11°C 12%
8°C oder darunter
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
12%
12°C
19%
13°C
36%
14°C
28%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 28%
12°C 19%
11°C 12%
8°C oder darunter
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
12%
12°C
19%
13°C
36%
14°C
28%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance shows clear skies and light winds favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling over London on August 22–23, supporting a daily minimum near 13–14 °C. Calm conditions under high pressure allow surface inversions to develop, while modest dew points limit further cooling. Slight differences among ECMWF, GFS, and UKMO runs hinge on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14 °C. Updated high-resolution forecasts tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow uncertainty before the 24-hour minimum is recorded at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen