Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under typical late-summer conditions, with light easterly or variable winds, partial cloud cover, and low precipitation risk. These align with climatological norms of 20–22°C highs for the period and recent stable patterns showing no strong fronts or heat advection. The narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak timing, exact insolation, or boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale shifts. Traders weight model consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution criteria hinge on official KNMI observations that can vary by 1°C due to local urban effects or measurement timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 24. August?
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
17°C oder niedriger
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
10%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C oder höher
2%
22°C 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 10%
17°C oder niedriger
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
45%
23°C
10%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under typical late-summer conditions, with light easterly or variable winds, partial cloud cover, and low precipitation risk. These align with climatological norms of 20–22°C highs for the period and recent stable patterns showing no strong fronts or heat advection. The narrow spread between 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak timing, exact insolation, or boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale shifts. Traders weight model consensus and historical analogs heavily, as resolution criteria hinge on official KNMI observations that can vary by 1°C due to local urban effects or measurement timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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