Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. These conditions favor typical nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by the marine influence of the Benguela Current, with historical late-August lows averaging around 10°C and rarely falling below 7°C or exceeding 15°C. Trader consensus remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at equal implied probabilities, likely reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated official guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 24. August?
17°C oder höher 92%
7°C oder darunter 89%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
89%
8°C
19%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
27%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
2%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C oder höher
92%
17°C oder höher 92%
7°C oder darunter 89%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
89%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$5 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C
$5 Vol.
36%
16°C
$5 Vol.
36%
17°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. These conditions favor typical nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by the marine influence of the Benguela Current, with historical late-August lows averaging around 10°C and rarely falling below 7°C or exceeding 15°C. Trader consensus remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at equal implied probabilities, likely reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated official guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
Volumen
$30Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. These conditions favor typical nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by the marine influence of the Benguela Current, with historical late-August lows averaging around 10°C and rarely falling below 7°C or exceeding 15°C. Trader consensus remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at equal implied probabilities, likely reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated official guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear skies and moderate southerly flow. These conditions favor typical nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by the marine influence of the Benguela Current, with historical late-August lows averaging around 10°C and rarely falling below 7°C or exceeding 15°C. Trader consensus remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at equal implied probabilities, likely reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning or cloud cover that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C. Updated official guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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