Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 24. August?
9°C oder darunter 92%
19°C oder höher 90%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
9°C oder darunter
92%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C oder höher
90%
9°C oder darunter 92%
19°C oder höher 90%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
92%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$4 Vol.
19%
16°C
$5 Vol.
37%
17°C
$5 Vol.
37%
18°C
$5 Vol.
37%
19°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volumen
$29Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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